Uncertainty Drives the need to Sense and Respond

March 6, 2017December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Humanity Digital, Gary Hamel, Innovation, Jeff Gothelf, josh seiden, Learning, Sense and Respond

“The rhythm of technology is changing the rhythm of business, and we’re all going to need to adapt” – Jeff Gothelf and Josh Seiden, Authors of Sense and Respond

Back in 2013, in a post on sense and respond systems, I talked about the drivers that would push organizations towards a sense and respond paradigm. There are no bigger drivers than volatility and uncertainty, and nearly four years since that post, that fact is becoming clearer. In a recent book by Jeff Gothelf and Josh Seiden, they elevate sense and respond to a position that is core to achieving an adaptive enterprise. They see feedback loops and a movement away from command and control as the enabling mechanisms that allow us to thrive in the digital age.

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Who Owns Your Data?

February 28, 2017July 17, 2019 Frank Diana My Media Activity Brian Kilcourse, Chatbot, Coffee Break with Game Changers, Data, Frank Diana, Larry Stolle, Privacy, SAP

On March 1^st at 11:00 EST, I will be participating on a Coffee Break with Game Changers show hosted by Bonnie D. Graham. An abstract for the show can be found below. You can listen Live or On-Demand, typically two hours after the show. coffee-break-with-game-changers

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Intersections Promise to Drive Multiple Paradigm Shifts

February 16, 2017December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Humanity Combinatorial, Communications, Connected Health, Energy, Health, Innovation, Internet of Things, Transport

Since the time I completed this post on Disruptive Power and Intersections, it continues to receive attention. It is by far the most effective component of any Future Thinking effort. Given the continued traffic to this two year old post, I am updating with current content. The visual below connects the intersections of 8 combinatorial scenarios. This is not an exhaustive set of connections; it is strictly intended to describe the scenarios at a high level. disruptive-power

Figure 1: Intersections amplify both power and impact

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The Experience Journey Gets Complicated

February 13, 2017March 20, 2018 Frank Diana Business customer experience, Customer Journey, CX, Ecosystems, Interaction, Personalization, Purpose

My ongoing work on emerging future scenarios has driven a renewed focus on experience. Several factors are converging to shift the experience end game; specifically, the evolution of Ecosystems and the transformation of Interaction. These two forces – themselves the result of combinatorial innovation – are converging. While the way we interact continues to shift, a parallel evolution towards ecosystems is occurring. This ecosystem evolution introduces systemic complexity and combines with a shifting interaction paradigm to alter the way we think about experience.

Figure 1: Phase One of a pending shift in interaction paradigms

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Visualizing our Emerging Future

February 6, 2017December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Humanity Future Scenarios, Future Thinking, Humanity, Science, Society, Technology

As the pace of science, technology, and societal change accelerates, a vision of our future is emerging. Many future scenarios are viewed as science fiction, or thought to have timelines that are too far into the future to worry about. I hold a firm belief that these timelines are collapsing and future scenario analysis is critical both at a business and societal level.

I have used this visual as a driver of future scenario analysis. It has been captured and utilized in workshop and events. It is described in a post on Connecting Dots, which I view as a critical leadership trait.

emerging-future

The Collapse of Traditional Structures: An Ecosystem Evolution

February 3, 2017March 6, 2019 Frank Diana Humanity Business Model, Business Model Innovation, Collaboration, Collaborative commons, Ecosystems, Experience, Innovation, Platforms, Vertical Industry

In my previous post on the Transformation of Interaction, I mentioned the emergence of ecosystems and their likely impact on how we experience life. Together, the evolution of interaction and ecosystems plays a significant role in how we view experiences going forward. I referred to this in 2013 as the movement towards Next Generation Experiences. In the coming months, I will share a point of view that captures a finite set of future ecosystems. To position that discussion, it is helpful to look at how this evolution may ensue.

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The Transformation of Interaction

January 30, 2017October 8, 2018 Frank Diana Business Augmented Reality, customer experience, Experience, Mixed Reality, Smartphone, Virtual Reality

Back in 2013, as Smartphone use was growing, I wrote about Next Generation Experiences; viewing customer experience through a lens of constant change, where failure to address foundational elements meant falling further behind. Since then, our mode of interaction witnessed a third transformation, as touch became a critical piece of our everyday experiences. Now, we find ourselves approaching the next significant change in interaction paradigms: the Fourth Transformation driven by mixed reality.

Transformation of Interaction

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The Growth of the Autonomous Car Market

January 27, 2017December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Autonomous Vehicles Automation, Autonomous Vehicles, DARPA, Driverless cars, Google X

In the last three years, I have written about the emerging Mobility Ecosystem and its Disruptive Potential. In 2016, we witnessed the acceleration of this future scenario and the movement from science fiction to something that feels very real. Here is a great infographic that looks broadly at the autonomous car market, the many financial, practical and scientific challenges involved in the development of these vehicles, and these other topics:

The history of autonomous cars
The challenges involved in engineering the coveted autonomous car
How DARPA have been involved in testing driverless cars
The advent of Google X
The science behind autonomous vehicles
What the future holds for the autonomous car market
Which car brands have driving patents for autonomous vehicles
The projected launch date for driverless card (for test or commercial purpose)
Projected market penetration of autonomous cars in the UK
SAE levels explained

Technological Tipping Points

January 23, 2017December 20, 2024 Frank Diana Humanity Davos, Davos2017, Software, Tipping Points, WEF, World Economic Forum

The World Economic Forum’s annual meeting occurred last week in Davos with a theme of responsive and responsible leadership. The session had me thinking back to research conducted by their Global Agenda Council in March 2015 on the Future of Software & Society. The research focused on technological tipping points and the perception of when these tipping points would occur. The responses from a community of over 800 executives and experts from the information and communications technology sector were used to produce a timeline of possible tipping points ranging from 2018 to 2027.

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The Future of Energy: A Discussion with David Cohen

January 18, 2017July 17, 2019 Frank Diana Energy, Future Scenarios David Cohen, Energy, Energy Internet, Hydrogen, Jeremy Rifkin, Solar, Solar Energy, The Zero Marginal Cost Society

future-of-energy-infographic

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AI and the Conversational Era

January 17, 2017December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Artificial Intelligence, My Media Activity AI, Artificial Intelligence, Chatbots, Conversational Systems, Kore, TCS

On January 17, I had the pleasure of participating in another Game Changers show Presented by SAP focused on partnerships: Changing the Game for Digital Transformation. I was joined by Robin Kearon, SVP Channels and Alliances, Kore Inc. The show was once again expertly moderated by Bonnie D. Graham. You can listen on demand at your convenience.

TOPIC / EPISODE TITLE

Connecting People to Technology: AI and the Conversational Era

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Podcast with Gerd Leonhard

January 9, 2017December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Humanity Frank Diana, Gerd Leonhard, Reimagining the Future, Technology vs Humanity

This morning I had the pleasure of discussing the future with Gerd Leonhard. Gerd was listed by Wired Magazine as one of the top 100 most influential people in Europe. His recent book on Technology vs Humanity begins the dialog on ethics in an exponential world.

Our theme was reimagining the future and the topics ranged from artificial intelligence to exponential progression.

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2017 Predictions

January 5, 2017July 17, 2019 Frank Diana My Media Activity, Trends and Predictions 2017 Predictions, Automation, Ethics, Future, Platforms, Purpose, Technology Trends

“I am blown away by how palpable the feeling of exponential change has become. I’m also certain that 99.999% of humanity doesn’t understand or appreciate the ramifications of what is coming”

-Peter Diamandis

On Wednesday January 4^th, I participated in a Game Changers radio program focused on predictions for 2017. The program, hosted by Bonnie D. Graham, included 15 other guests in an hour long show made up of four segments. A rebroadcast can be found here.

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Coffee Break with Game Changers: An Innovation Explosion

December 1, 2016July 17, 2019 Frank Diana Innovation, My Media Activity Coffee Break with Game Changers, Ethics, Exponential Technology, Gerd Leonhard, Innovation, SAP, Technology, Timo Elliott

On November 30^th, I had the pleasure of participating in another Game Changers show. I was joined by Futurist Gerd Leonhard and SAP Innovation executive Timo Elliott. The show was expertly moderated by Bonnie D. Graham, starting with her positioning of the topic: “Impossible is not a fact. It is an opinion” (Muhammad Ali). A unique clustering of inventions in the century after the U.S. Civil War improved the American and European standard of living – human well-being – more than any period before or after, with advances in everything from food and energy to health and work. Can our current innovation explosion have a similar impact despite unintended consequences?

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Reimagining the Future

November 22, 2016December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Humanity Creativity, Economy, Ecosystems, Future, jobs, Purpose, Right Brain, Standard of Living

The future is arriving faster than most people think.

When we look around us, we see a world in which digital is now woven into the fabric of our lives. Where convergence of paradigm shifts is now the new norm and the pace of change is accelerating exponentially. We are now living in a looking-glass world; where everything we think we know is being challenged, including our long-held notions of success and failure. At the same time it’s a world where we can imagine, create and enable like never before.

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Revolution and the Innovation wheel

October 31, 2016October 11, 2018 Frank Diana Humanity Fourth Industrial Revolution, GDP, Innovation, Labor Productivity, Robert J. Gordon, Second Industrial Revolution, Standard of Living, The Rise and Fall of American Growth

In a brilliant journey through the economic history of the western world, author Robert J. Gordon looks at The Rise and Fall of American Growth. This recent book focuses on a revolutionary century that impacted the American standard of living more than any period before or after. Our standard of living is typically viewed as the ratio of total production of goods and services (real GDP) per member of the population. But this measure fails to truly capture enhancements to our well-being. Human well-being is influenced by advances in the areas of food, clothing, shelter, energy, transport, education, health, work, information, entertainment, and communications. The special century (1870 – 1970) that followed the Civil War was made possible by a unique clustering of what the author calls the great inventions. Clearly – as the visual I developed depicts – the great inventions of the second industrial revolution significantly improved our well-being:

Second Revolution Innovation Wheel

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Techno-Optimist or Techno-Pessimist?

October 10, 2016December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Humanity Economics, Robert J. Gordon, Techno-optimist, Techno-pessimist, The Rise and Fall of American Growth

the-revolutions

A recent book by Robert J. Gordon titled The Rise and Fall of American Growth shines a light on technological innovation and its past and future impact on growth. The premise of the book is that the innovations of the special century (1870 – 1970) cannot be replicated. As such, the author does not envision a return to growth for America (hence the title). The book is very well written, and I will touch on aspects of it in future posts. For this post, I’d like to gauge the reader’s level of optimism or pessimism.

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Balancing the Opposing Forces of Innovation

September 20, 2016November 1, 2018 Frank Diana Future Scenarios Abundance, Digital, Ethics, Gerd Leonhard, Humanity, Innovation, Peter Diamandis, Technology

Balance the Opposing Forces of Innovation

The unabated exponential progression of science and technology has driven a staggering pace of innovation. The building blocks are mostly there, allowing creative minds to combine them in ways that attack the world’s most difficult challenges.

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Innovation Killer Organization Chart

September 10, 2016December 18, 2024 Frank Diana Business Ideation, Innovation

Heidi Schwende recently shared a picture on LinkedIn that perfectly captures the challenges facing large traditional companies. Exponential progression, the pace it is driving, and the capacity of companies native to digital to innovate put the traditional company at a severe disadvantage.

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