Over the last ten posts, we have been building a clearer picture of what it means to live in a world approaching a systemic turning point. We began by examining why today feels unusually active and uneven, then traced the deeper pattern behind major shifts in history. We explored how change accumulates, compresses, destabilizes, and eventually reorganizes life around new assumptions. We introduced the seven domains that shape every transition and showed why no single force ever moves a civilization forward on its own. We examined the three drivers that push societies across thresholds and built gauges that make systemic pressure legible. Using those gauges, we read four major transitions in the long arc of history: from hunter-gatherer life to agriculture, from agriculture to the Axial reorientation of ideas, from the Axial age to the Renaissance, and from the Renaissance into the Industrial world. We then applied the same lens to the present, showing why the 2020s feel dense, fast, and tightly connected. Most recently, we explored the possibility of another transition forming and the kind of governance required when intelligence itself becomes a shared utility. Together, these posts formed a simple arc: understand the moment, understand the mechanics, understand what may be forming next.
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Invisible at Rush Hour
What it feels like to grow old in a society speeding past you.
The World Is Getting Older—Fast
Across the globe, populations are aging at unprecedented speed. By 2030, more than 1 in 6 people worldwide will be over 60. In countries like Japan, South Korea, Italy, and Germany, that number will be closer to 1 in 3. The dependency ratio is tipping. Pensions are under strain. Healthcare systems are overwhelmed. And in many cities, there are now more people leaving the workforce than entering it.
Continue readingSunday Visits, With Eva
A short story from a near-future we’re already building
Every Sunday, Layla walks three blocks through the city to visit her mother, June.
It’s a quiet ritual in a world that’s grown louder—drones overhead, screens on every corner. Layla still carries groceries in her arms. Still buys the same tea: jasmine and orange peel, just like her mother brewed when she was little.
June doesn’t always remember who Layla is.
But she always reacts to the tea.
Continue readingWinston Churchill’s Famous Words
Winston Churchill’s famous words – “History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it myself” – are not simply a reflection of confidence or political legacy. They represent a profound truth: that those who step forward to shape the future ultimately influence how history remembers the past.
Continue readingSuperbloom – Nicholas Carr
In Superbloom, Nicholas Carr offers a piercing meditation on one of the great paradoxes of our era: the more connected we become, the more fragmented we feel. Published in early 2025, the book lands at a time when digital platforms dominate our institutions, AI shapes our attention, and trust—once the connective tissue of society—is visibly eroding.
Carr’s thesis is clear: technologies designed to bring us closer—social networks, real-time communication, algorithmic personalization—are fraying the very bonds they claim to strengthen. But his brilliance lies not only in the critique, but in the way he examines the deeper human and societal costs of hyperconnection. He speaks to a civilization immersed in stimulation, yet starved for meaning.
Continue readingNavigating A World Of Permanent Crisis: A Review Of Robert D. Kaplan’s Waste Land
Robert D. Kaplan’s latest book, Waste Land: A World in Permanent Crisis, presents an unsettling yet necessary exploration into our current global predicament. True to Kaplan’s distinguished career, this book expertly connects historical contexts with today’s increasingly complex reality, a practice that resonates deeply with my own work on examining historical lessons to better understand our evolving future.
Continue readingWhen General-Purpose Technologies Intersect With Necessity, Invention, And Convergence
History teaches us that transformative technologies do not emerge in isolation, nor do they reshape the world overnight. Instead, they follow a discernible pattern – an evolutionary journey that unfolds in response to human needs. Two phenomena help us understand this journey: the Evolutionary Phases of General-Purpose Technologies (GPTs) and the role of necessity, invention, and convergence (NIC). When viewed together, they provide a powerful lens for understanding not just how technologies evolve, but why they emerge and when they reach their full potential.
Continue readingUnlocking Human Potential – The Democratization Of Knowledge
I launched this series earlier with a description here. To begin this analysis, let’s examine how the democratization of knowledge has shaped human progress throughout history, setting the stage for our current era of rapid advancement. The democratization of knowledge has been the driving force behind humanity’s greatest leaps forward. As knowledge becomes more accessible and widely shared, it expands human capabilities and allows societies to break free from previous limitations. This journey of knowledge democratization has been marked by pivotal inventions that have revolutionized how we communicate, learn, and innovate.
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