Data Is The engine That Drives Multiple Scenarios

Much our future as it unfolds relies on data. Whether it’s the evolution of digital twins or the ability of AI to aid in gene therapy, data is the engine. As the possibility space expands, so does the challenge associated with an overwhelming amount of data. The visual below via Visual Capitalist brings that scenario into focus using a connected car example. This related article highlights some of the potential obstacles. As with every scenario we envision, obstacles exist that slow or negate the scenario, while accelerants do the opposite. Envisioning possible futures requires us to understand both sides of this phenomenon – and doing so on a constant and iterative basis.

Continue reading

Technology Trends To Watch In 2023

The infographic below draws from a recent CB Insights report on eleven Tech Trends To Watch Closely in 2023. As described in the visual, CB Insights used a technology intelligence platform to analyze signals like investment activity, executive chatter in earnings transcripts, media mentions, patents, and more to identify these top eleven trends. A very interesting list with additional detail provided in the report. The invasion of super Apps is an interesting one, as WeChat has long delivered that in the east, but the west has lagged behind. It will be interesting to see if the various obstacles that have prevented its emergence in the west can be overcome. Immortality as a service is not new, but with recent advances and the growing focus of billionaires, it’s easy to see why it made the list.

Continue reading

What Experts See Coming In 2023

A recent article provides an overview of how experts think the markets will move, how trends will develop, and which risks and opportunities to watch over the coming 12 months. As usual, Visual Capitalist provides an easy to digest view of 2023 predictions based on analyzing over 500 sources. The article provides details for several of the major squares on the visual – and I recommend the quick read. Thanks to Joanna Lepore for bringing it to my attention. An example of one key take away:

Many of the expert opinions in this year’s database are pointing to inflation easing off as the year progresses. On the downside, few predict that inflation will drop back down to the 2% range that Fed policymakers favor.

Nick Routley – Prediction Consensus: What the Experts See Coming in 2023
Continue reading

The Energy Transition

Energy transitions throughout history have ushered in times of dramatic change. These transitions represent the most impactful periods in human history. At the heart of this transition lies renewable energy.

Continue reading

The Global Decline In Fertility Rates

Societal change is a critical area of convergence that is likely to play a major role in shaping the future. Three building blocks provide an example: declining fertility rates, an aging population, and a fall in working age population. This article connects those dots visually. In looking at the global decline in fertility rates, the article illuminates the impact to global stability, as a given area needs an overall total fertility rate of 2.1 to keep a stable population. But why are women having fewer children? According to Dr. Max Roser, the founder of Our World in Data, most of the literature boils down to three main factors:

Continue reading