As the pace of science, technology, and societal change accelerates, a vision of our future is emerging. Many future scenarios are viewed as science fiction, or thought to have timelines that are too far into the future to worry about. I hold a firm belief that these timelines are collapsing and future scenario analysis is critical both at a business and societal level.
I have used this visual as a driver of future scenario analysis. It has been captured and utilized in workshop and events. It is described in a post on Connecting Dots, which I view as a critical leadership trait. Given its exposure, I am making a copy available via this PDF.
I happen to agree with you Frank. These scenarios aren’t the things of sci-fi anymore. Drones, AI, Connected cars, it’s all here and the rest is racing at us at an accelerated pace. There’s no such thing as a 5 year plan anymore. We do our planning in 1 year increments now and need to revise quarterly. Even a 3 year plan is out of date before it’s 12 months out.
People should stand up and take notice of what you’re saying and NOW!
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I believe planning is now a highly iterative process that is fueled by insight and foresight. A continuous rehearsal of the future. The framework that I believe every leader must embrace is: See, Rehearse, Adapt
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[…] ongoing work on emerging future scenarios has driven a renewed focus on experience. Several factors are converging to shift the experience […]
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Good vision, Frank!
But the Future is more complecated:
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Thank you so much for sharing. Very in-depth analysis. Are you with the WEF?
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[…] scenarios: we will all struggle with the uncertainty and pace of Our Emerging Future. Sense and respond methods play a vital role in seeing that future and positioning our […]
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[…] analysis. As complexity and pace continue to intensify, uncertainty increases. To survive in this Emerging Future, we must embrace a framework for future thinking, and an organization that can adapt as it […]
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[…] months have past without adding to the emerging future visual. In this post on Visualizing our Emerging Future, I described the origins of the visual and how it is being used. Two specific activities have […]
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